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Betting Stat Pack: John Deere Classic

Fireworks for America’s birthday will start the week and birdies and eagles at TPC Deere Run will finish the celebrations.

J.T. Poston returns to defend his title and will lead a field of 156, including nine of the top 50 in the OWGR.

TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, provides the perfect backdrop for another shootout on the PGA TOUR. The par 71 (7,286 yards) layout rewards the risk from tee to green, but once on the pristine putting surfaces, it’s time to start holing putts again this week.

Last week 24 under was just good enough for a playoff. The average winning score here over the last five seasons is around 21-under par so the mindset will remain the same: Go low!

A purse of $7.4 million will dole out $1.332 million to the winner, plus 500 FedExCup points.

Key Statistics

Only players listed are competing this week. Stats from the current 2022-23 season.

Par-4 Scoring

T4Denny McCarthy
T6Kevin Yu
T10Taylor Montgomery
T15Aaron Baddeley
T15Chris Kirk
T15Nick Taylor
T26Akshay Bhatia
T26Russell Henley
T26Stephan Jaeger
T26Ben Martin, Brendon Todd

The last four winners have led or co-led the field in this category. Only four of the 11 holes are over 450 yards, while five play 435 or less. Racking up birdies on the scorable holes is required again this week.

Rounds in the 60s

T2Eric Cole
T2Stephan Jaeger
T5Will Gordon
T7KH Lee
T9Ben Martin
T9Patrick Rodgers
T9Adam Schenk
T17Brendon Todd
T17Mark Hubbard
T17Dylan Wu
T20Ben An, Emiliano Grillo, Denny McCarthy

With the average winning score hanging around 21 under, grinding out rounds at par will not work this week. The HIGHEST winning score since the move to TPC Deere Run in 2000 is 16 under. In the last decade, the highest winning score was 18 under. Paul Goydos once posted 59 here and didn’t win the tournament!

SG: Tee to Green

12Kevin Yu
25Byeong-Hun An
T27Russell Henley
29Joseph Bramlett
30Stephan Jaeger
31Cameron Young
32Chris Kirk
33Alex Smalley
34Ryan Palmer
36Nick Taylor

The key to victory in any shootout is providing the most chances to score. Finding the most fairways and GIR will allow the putter to heat up. The greens at TPC Deere Run are perfect L-93 Bentgrass. Running at 12 feet, putts will have plenty of chances to go in. The last seven winners were T18 or better, and Poston led the field last season. Glover was fourth in 2021.

Source : PGA Tour